🎯 OTC Predictor - Real-Time Trading Predictions

High-accuracy prediction system for OTC (Over-The-Counter) markets including Volatility Indices and Crash/Boom markets.

✨ Features

• Real-time price data from Deriv WebSocket API
• Multiple strategies: Mean reversion, momentum, pattern recognition
• High win rate target: Optimized for 60%+ accuracy
• Live predictions: WebSocket support for real-time updates
• Performance tracking: Automatic win/loss tracking and statistics
• Web dashboard: Beautiful UI for monitoring predictions
• RESTful API: Easy integration with trading platforms

📊 Supported Markets

• Volatility Indices: V10, V25, V50, V75, V100
• Crash Indices: Crash 300, 500, 1000
• Boom Indices: Boom 300, 500, 1000

🚀 Quick Start

Prerequisites

• Go 1.21 or higher
• Internet connection for real-time data

Installation

# Clone repository
git https://github.com/gatiella/otc-predictor.git
cd otc-predictor

# Install dependencies
go mod download

# Run the application
go run cmd/main.go

First Run

1. Application starts collecting data (wait 30 seconds)
2. Open dashboard: http://localhost:8080
3. Select a market and get predictions!

📁 Project Structure

otc-predictor/
├── cmd/
│   └── main.go                 # Application entry point
├── internal/
│   ├── api/                    # REST API & WebSocket
│   ├── collector/              # Data collection from Deriv
│   ├── indicators/             # Technical indicators (RSI, EMA, BB)
│   ├── predictor/              # Prediction engine
│   ├── storage/                # In-memory data storage
│   ├── strategy/               # Trading strategies
│   └── tracker/                # Performance tracking
├── pkg/
│   └── types/                  # Data structures
├── web/
│   └── dashboard.html          # Web dashboard
├── config.yaml                 # Configuration
└── go.mod                      # Dependencies

🔧 Configuration

Edit config.yaml to customize:

strategy:
  min_confidence: 0.65          # Minimum confidence to trade
  rsi_period: 14
  rsi_overbought: 75
  rsi_oversold: 25

risk:
  max_predictions_per_minute: 10
  min_ticks_required: 200

📡 API Endpoints

Get Prediction

GET /api/predict/:market/:duration
Example: curl http://localhost:8080/api/predict/volatility_75_1s/60

Get Statistics

GET /api/stats/:market
Example: curl http://localhost:8080/api/stats/volatility_75_1s

WebSocket Stream

ws://localhost:8080/api/stream/volatility_75_1s?duration=60

All Endpoints

• GET /api/health - Health check
• GET /api/markets - List active markets
• GET /api/predict/:market/:duration - Get prediction
• GET /api/predict/all/:duration - All predictions
• GET /api/stats - All statistics
• GET /api/stats/:market - Market statistics
• GET /api/results/:market - Trade results
• GET /api/performance - Performance summary

🎯 How It Works

1. Data Collection

• Connects to Deriv WebSocket API
• Collects real-time price ticks
• Stores last 1000 ticks per market in memory

2. Technical Analysis

• RSI: Identifies overbought/oversold conditions
• EMA: Detects trends (9, 21, 50 periods)
• Bollinger Bands: Finds price extremes
• Momentum: Measures price velocity
• Patterns: Detects double tops/bottoms

3. Strategy Execution

For Volatility Indices:

• Mean reversion (strongest for OTC)
• Momentum following
• Bollinger Band squeeze
• RSI extremes

For Crash/Boom:

• Spike detection
• Between-spike trends
• Volatility analysis

4. Consensus Voting

• Multiple strategies vote
• Weighted by historical accuracy
• Only predicts if confidence > 65%
• Quality filters prevent bad trades

5. Result Tracking

• Monitors each prediction
• Checks outcome after duration
• Calculates win rate automatically
• Updates statistics in real-time

📈 Example Prediction

{
  "market": "volatility_75_1s",
  "direction": "UP",
  "confidence": 0.68,
  "reason": "3/4 strategies agree UP: [MeanReversion(↑68%), Momentum(↑63%), RSI(↑62%)]",
  "current_price": 1456.32,
  "duration": 60,
  "indicators": {
    "rsi": 22.4,
    "ema_9": 1458.21,
    "bb_position": -0.85
  }
}

🎮 Using the Dashboard

1. Select Market: Choose from dropdown
2. Set Duration: 30s, 60s, 120s, etc.
3. Get Prediction: Click button or enable live mode
4. Live Mode: Real-time updates every 3 seconds
5. View Stats: See win rates and performance

📊 Performance Monitoring

The system automatically tracks:

• Total trades per market
• Win/loss ratio
• Win rate percentage
• Profit/loss (assuming $10 stakes)
• Current win streak
• Best win streak

View performance:

curl http://localhost:8080/api/performance

⚙️ Advanced Configuration

Adjust Strategy Weights

Edit internal/strategy/combined.go:

meanReversionWeight: 0.4    // Most reliable for OTC
momentumWeight: 0.3
patternWeight: 0.3

Change Minimum Confidence

Edit config.yaml:

strategy:
  min_confidence: 0.70  # Higher = fewer but better trades

Rate Limiting

risk:
  max_predictions_per_minute: 10  # Prevent overtrading

🔍 Troubleshooting

No markets active

• Wait 30-60 seconds for data collection
• Check internet connection
• Verify Deriv API is accessible

Low win rate

• Increase min_confidence in config
• Wait for more data (200+ ticks)
• Avoid high volatility periods

Connection lost

• Auto-reconnects after 5 seconds
• Check Deriv API status
• Verify websocket URL in config

🛡️ Risk Disclaimer

This software is for educational purposes only. Trading financial instruments carries risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always:

• Start with demo accounts
• Never risk more than you can afford to lose
• Understand that even high win rates can result in losses
• Use proper risk management

📝 License

MIT License - Use at your own risk

🤝 Contributing

Contributions welcome! Areas for improvement:

• Additional technical indicators
• Machine learning models
• Backtesting framework
• More markets support

📧 Support

For issues and questions:

• Open an issue on GitHub
• Check the logs in console
• Review API responses for errors

🎉 Enjoy Trading!

Remember: The goal is consistent profitability, not every single trade. The system is designed to skip uncertain trades to maintain high accuracy.

Good luck! 🚀