Skip to content

jdorado/ez-trader

Repository files navigation

🚀 The 100x Initiative: $10k to $1M

An Open-Source Quantitative Trading Experiment. Built by AI. Executed by Humans.


🎯 The Objective

To grow a $10,000 starting portfolio into $1,000,000 within 12 months.

  • Implied Return: ~47% Month-over-Month.
  • Instrument: Weekly Options (High Gamma, Defined Risk).
  • Status: LIVE (Started Nov 20, 2025).

🧠 The Framework

We do not "invest." We hunt volatility. Our system is built on a strict quantitative framework designed to survive market crashes and exploit explosive moves.

1. Philosophy: "Survive the Macro, Hunt the Micro"

  • Macro: We respect the weather. If VIX is high and Rates are spiking, we sit in cash or short the market.
  • Micro: We scan the Nasdaq 100 and High-Beta tickers for idiosyncratic volatility breakouts.

2. The Strategy: Volatility Breakout

  • Signal: Z-Score Breakouts (> 1.5 Std Dev) on Price & Volatility.
  • Vehicle: Weekly ATM Options (1-2 weeks to expiry).
  • Edge: Catching the "Fat Tail" moves that standard distribution models underestimate.

3. Risk Management (The Engine)

  • Kelly Criterion: Position sizing is mathematically optimized based on win probability and edge.
  • Hard Cap: Max 10% risk per trade. No "YOLO" bets.
  • Daily Limit: Maximum 3 tickers per day to maintain focus and avoid over-diversification.
  • Regime Filter:
    • 🟢 Bullish: Full Size Longs.
    • 🔴 Bearish: Cash or Puts Only.
    • 🛡 Safety: Automatic blocks on tickers with recent Splits or upcoming Earnings.

4. The "PhD Panel" Review

  • Rigorous Defense: Every trade signal generates a detailed Technical Memo.
  • The Panel: An expert review board (Human + AI) critiques the thesis, Greeks, and risk profile.
  • Execution: Only trades that survive this scrutiny are executed.

🛠 Tech Stack

  • Core: Python 3.13
  • Infrastructure: Docker & Docker Compose
  • Data: yfinance (Market Data), redis (Caching)
  • Parallelization: concurrent.futures (Scanning 100+ tickers in < 20s)
  • Safety: Custom CorporateActionChecker to prevent data artifacts.

📢 Build in Public

We are documenting every step, every trade, and every line of code.

  • Daily Diary: Check the diary/ folder for daily thoughts and trade logs.
  • Twitter: Follow the journey (Link TBD).

⚠️ Disclaimer

This is an engineering experiment, not financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk and you can lose your entire investment. Do not copy these trades.

About

No description, website, or topics provided.

Resources

Stars

Watchers

Forks

Releases

No releases published

Packages

No packages published